DEVELOPMENT OF METHODS FOR FORECASTING THE OPTIMAL STRUCTURE OF ENERGY PRODUCTION OF THE BELARUS REPUBLIC USING THE FUZZY MATHEMATICAL PROGRAMMING METHODS

Tatsiana G. Zoryna, Ina V. Kashnikava, Igar T. Bohdan

Institute of Power Engineering of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, Belarusian State University of Informatics and Radioelectronics, Research Economic Institute of the Ministry of Economics

The article describes the characteristics of the energy system of the Belarus Republic, proposes and solves the problem of the optimal structure modeling of energy production with fuzzy parameters. As fuzzy parameters were used the demand for electricity and heat. As a result of the use of the proposed model, the optimal structure of the energy production of the Belarus Republic was obtained, in which the production volumes of each station take an fuzzy value.

Belarusian energy system, forecasting the optimal structure of energy production, mathematical programming with fuzzy parameters

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