Political geography and geopolitics: hermeneutical research and mathematical modeling of electoral phenomena

Aleksander K. Cherkashin

V.B. Sochava Institute of Geography SB RAS

The difference between political geography as part of the hermeneutical meta-theory of understanding and geopolitics as an intertheory of explaining the specifics of spatially distributed activity, activities with or without taking into account the feature of the geohistorical environment, is proved on the basis of a critical mathematical approach with the procedures of knowledge stratification (fibration). The role and place of mathematics in the system of humanities and in solving problems of statistical data analysis and modeling of political processes and phenomena are discussed. The complementarity of methodological, mathematical and empirical research methods is substantiated. Schemes of the structure and organization of tangent layers (fibers) of activities and equations of quantitative analysis and modeling of political phenomena are proposed. Their application is demonstrated by the example of the interpretation of the popular election results.

political processes and phenomena, mathematical and statistical analysis, organization of scientific knowledge, models of electoral preference

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