Ekaterina V. Lyubimova (kat@ieie.nsc.ru)

Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

The increasing development of nonconventional renewable power causes the need for adjustments in structure of power balance models where earlier they haven't been reflected fully, and in forecasting technique of separate balance indicators. Modification of multimethodic models of regional fuel and power balances for medium-term forecasting is described. Difficulties of replenishment the model information bases and possible ways to overcome are discussed. The result of using the model for assessing the sustainability of the planned task for renewables stations input is given.

balance, electric power, region, model, forecasting, renewables